/pol/ - Politically Incorrect

>>13650914

If antisemitism rises too much, as you’ve predicted, and you’ve spoken about the potential for ground troops in Asia. I don’t know when you think that will happen. Maybe you can answer that.

But what is the chance of a nuclear bomb being dropped?

So I would actually dismiss the idea of a nuclear bomb being dropped.

I know this worries a lot of people, but I’ll explain why I don’t think it will happen.

The first reason: there’s a doctrine — an established option — which you pointed out:

Israel will literally nuke the entire world if its existence is threatened.

This is not a conspiracy; it’s just their policy.

That’s a strategic nuclear arsenal used for strategic purposes.

If you use a nuke in a war, that’s a tactical nuclear strike.

Now, it’s extremely hard to change military doctrine in the middle of a war.

It’s almost like asking a football team to play hockey.

A military is a bureaucracy; everyone thinks a certain way.

A tactical nuclear weapon goes against every military doctrine in the world.

So I don’t think it’s within the capacity of either the Israelis or the Americans

to actually use a tactical nuclear weapon against Iran.

That’s point number one.

Point number two:

You would use a tactical nuclear weapon only if you want to win the war at all costs.

But that assumes these people actually want to win.

If you look at the logic behind the Greater Israel project,

they actually want to lose this war.

Why?

Because the goal of the U.S. going into Iran — an invasion —

is for the U.S. to lose so badly that it’s forced out of the Middle East.

Once America is pushed back to the Western Hemisphere

and can no longer involve itself in the Middle East,

CENTCOM (U.S. Central Command) naturally falls to Israel.

That’s how the Greater Israel project is built.

All American bases, all American technology — satellites, planes, bombs —

would end up under Israeli control.

So it actually benefits Israel to drag this war out as long as possible,

to force a ground invasion that destroys American morale,

and then Israel picks up the pieces.

The longer the war goes on, the more destruction there is,

the more Israel benefits.

Israel is being hit, especially Tel Aviv by Iranian missiles,

but you may not know: they’re effectively burning down their own homes for insurance money.

Destroying their own country is acceptable if it brings more profit later.

That’s their calculation.

They don’t want to win this war. They want to lose it.

That’s point number two.>>13650915

>>13650916

If Iran collapses, if the U.S. successfully occupies Iran,

Russia will be in huge trouble.

We talked about this last time.

Russia will insist on keeping Iran stable.

The Washington Post has reported that Russia is currently providing

targeting intelligence to Iran,

which is why Iran’s missile strikes are so accurate.

Also, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has said

that Russia wants Iran to win this war.

And I’m sure through back channels, Russia has told the U.S.:

Don’t go too far. Do not use nuclear weapons.

At some point, if there is a ground invasion,

I would not be surprised if Putin publicly announces

that Iran is now under the Russian nuclear umbrella.

Meaning: any nuclear strike on Iranian territory

will be considered an attack on Russian territory,

and Russia will respond accordingly.

For these three reasons,

I believe the chance of a nuclear weapon being used is almost zero.

>>13650914

I really like the picture you posted.

"I have set My rainbow in the clouds, and it will be a sign of the covenant between Me and the earth."

Genesis 9:13 (New International Version)

That asian 'scholar' is a midwit that's an expert on everything. Don't fall for such obvious conmen you retard